Tropical Cyclone Alert : Severe Tropical Storm Francisco (MEKKHALA)
“FRANCISCO” IS NOW NEARING TYPHOON CATEGORY.
Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 1,170 km East of Southeastern Luzon (15.9, 132.5).
Strength : Maximum winds of 110 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 135 kph.
Forecast movement : Forecast to move North Northwestward at 25 kph
Forecast position :
Jun 21, 2026 08:00 PM - 935 km East of Central Luzon
Jun 22, 2026 08:00 AM - 760 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Jun 22, 2026 08:00 PM - 570 km East of Aparri, Cagayan
Jun 23, 2026 08:00 AM - 400 km East of Aparri, Cagayan
Jun 23, 2026 08:00 PM - 350 km East of Calayan, Cagayan
Jun 24, 2026 08:00 AM - 245 km East of Basco, Batanes
Jun 25, 2026 08:00 AM - 260 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
Jun 26, 2026 08:00 AM - 505 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
FRANCISCO is less likely to directly affect the weather conditions in the country today. However, onset of heavy rains due to the Enhanced Southwest Monsoon is possible beginning tomorrow (22 June). A Weather Advisory may be issued today in anticipation of the heavy rains over Northern Luzon and some areas in the western portions of Luzon and Visayas.
Severe Winds
Based on the latest forecast track, Wind Signal No.1 may be hoisted in some localities in the northern and eastern portions of Cagayan, Babuyan Islands, and Batanes by tomorrow morning.
The Southwest Monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
Today: Siquijor, Camiguin, and the southern portions of Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, and Sarangani.
Tomorrow (22 June): Romblon, most of Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Zamboanga Peninsula, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, the eastern portion of Davao Occidental, and the southern portion of Davao Oriental.
Tuesday (23 June): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, northern portions of Cagayan and Apayao, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, most of Southern Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Davao Oriental.
Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Isabela and Surigao del Sur; the eastern seaboards of Cagayan, northern Aurora, Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Siargao Island-Bucas Grande Island Group, and Davao del Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Northern Samar; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
FRANCISCO will likely remain over the Philippine Sea throughout the forecast period. However, a closer approach to Extreme Northern Luzon is not ruled out should the forecast track continue to shift westward. FRANCISCO will move west northwestward until Tuesday (23 June), then it will decelerate as it moves generally northward for the rest of the forecast period.
This tropical cyclone will continue to intensify and may reach typhoon category today. As it moves over the Philippine Sea, it will further intensify until it reaches its peak intensity likely by Monday (22 June) or Tuesday. Thereafter, a weakening trend is expected.
Varoitus voimassa su klo 6:03 - su klo 19:03
